Anticipated Results for Dow’s Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings

Dow Inc., a global materials science company based in Midland, Michigan, is preparing to reveal its fiscal Q4 2025 results on Thursday, Jan. 29. Expectations are for an adjusted loss of $0.45 per share. Throughout previous quarters, Dow surpassed earnings estimates twice and fell short twice.
Analysts foresee a challenging fiscal 2025 for the company, predicting an adjusted loss of $1.03 per share, a significant drop from the $1.71 adjusted EPS reported in fiscal 2024. However, there is optimism for a rebound in fiscal 2026, with an estimated 81.6% improvement translating to a narrowed adjusted loss of $0.19 per share.
Over the last 52 weeks, DOW stock has seen a decline of 41.7%, a marked underperformance compared to the S&P 500 Index’s 16.9% growth and the State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF’s 7.7% rise.
Despite disappointing Q3 2025 revenue figures of $9.97 billion, Dow’s shares surged almost 13% on Oct. 23. This increase came as a result of the company’s ability to limit its adjusted loss to $0.19 per share, a lower figure than what was expected. Investors applauded Dow’s efficient cost management, which included achieving more than half of its planned $6.5 billion in near-term cash support, aided by $1 billion in capital spending cuts and enhanced cost-saving measures. Furthermore, boosted margins were seen thanks to increased volumes from new U.S. Gulf Coast polyethylene and alkoxylation assets.
The general sentiment among analysts regarding DOW stock is cautious, with an overall “Hold” rating. Out of 20 analysts covering the company, only two recommend a “Strong Buy,” 17 suggest “Hold,” and one advises a “Strong Sell.” The average analyst price target for Dow sits at $26.83, indicating a potential 14.9% increase from current levels.