2026 Poll Shows American Views on Economy and Stock Market

Americans are displaying optimism regarding the outlook for the stock market and economic growth in 2026, although there are concerns about inflation and unemployment. Sentiment has recovered since the market turbulence last spring but has yet to reach previous highs. The views are notably split along party lines, with Republicans showing more optimism compared to Democrats and independents.

According to a Gallup survey, Americans are more hopeful about improvements in the stock market and overall economic conditions over the next six months, while being more pessimistic about unemployment and inflation. Expectations regarding interest rates are more evenly divided.

The survey, which started back in October 2001, has asked U.S. adults about their expectations for key economic indicators periodically. The latest results were collected between January 2-17 and show a contrast with the findings of a poll in April 2025, which indicated a significant decline in public sentiment following President Donald Trump’s introduction of tariffs on U.S. trading partners.

The survey suggests that Americans are positive about the stock market and economic growth, with a higher percentage expecting rises rather than falls. Views on interest rates are more balanced, while a majority anticipates increased inflation and unemployment.

Despite a significant drop in optimism about the stock market in April 2025 due to global market volatility stemming from Trump’s tariff policies, sentiment has since recovered. Currently, more Americans expect the market to rise, with a lower percentage than before expecting a decline. A similar trend is seen in expectations for economic growth, with nearly half of Americans predicting an improvement.

Partisan differences play a significant role in shaping Americans’ economic outlook. Republicans tend to be more optimistic across all measures, with a minority or plurality of Democrats and independents expecting negative outcomes. Independents’ views often align closer with those of Democrats rather than Republicans.

Overall, there is a mixed view on the economic outlook over the next six months, with a majority expecting gains in the stock market and economic growth. However, concerns about rising inflation and unemployment persist. Republicans hold a more positive outlook compared to Democrats and independents, highlighting the divergence in sentiment based on political affiliation.